Publications Dave Frame

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Peer reviewed books, book chapters, books edited

Frame, D.J., & Hepburn, C. (2011). Emerging markets and climate change: Mexican standoff or low-carbon race? In Robert W. Han &Alistair Ulph (Eds.), Climate Change and Common Sense: Essays in Honour of Tom Schelling. UK: Oxford University Press

Frame D.J., & Allen, M. (2008). Climate Change and Global Risk. In N. Bostrom & M. Cirkovic (Eds.), Global Catastrophic Risks. UK: Oxford University Press.

Allen, M.R., Frame, D.J., Kettleborough, J.A., & Stainforth, D.A. (2006). Model error in weather and climate forecasting. In T. Palmer & R. Hagedorn (Eds.), Predictability in Weather and Climate. UK: Cambridge University Press.

Refereed journal articles

Otto, F.E.L., Frame, D.J., Otto, A., & Allen, M.R. (early on-line view). Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy. Nature Climate Change.

Frame, D.J., Macey A.H., & Allen, M.R. (2014). Cumulative emissions and climate policy. Nature Geoscience, 7, 692–693.

Hawkins, E., Joshi, M., & Frame, D.J. (2014). Wetter then drier in some tropical areas (letter to the Editor). Nature Climate Change, 4, 646–647.

Bowerman, N.H.A., Frame, D.J., Huntingford, C., Lowe, J.A., Smith, S.M., & Allen, M.R. (2013). The role of short-lived climate pollutants in meeting temperature goals. Nature Climate Change, 3, 1021–1024.

Otto, A., Todd, B.J., Bowerman, N., Frame, D.J., & Allen, M.R. (2013). Climate system properties determining the social cost of carbon. Environmental Research Letters, 8(2), 024032.

Frame, D.J., & Stone, D.A. (2012). Assessment of the first consensus prediction on climate change (Letter). Nature Climate Change, 3, 357–359.

Rowlands, D.J., Frame, D.J., Ackerley, D., Aina T., Booth, B.B.B., Christensen, C., ..., & Allen, M.R. (2012). Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble. Nature Geoscience, 5, 256-260

Joshi, M.M., Hawkins, E., Sutton, R.T., Lowe, J., & Frame, D.J. (2011). Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Nature Climate Change, 1, 407-412.

Bowerman, N.H.A., Frame, D.J., Huntingford, C., Lowe, J.A., & Allen, M.R. (2011). Cumulative carbon emissions, emissions floors and short-term rates of warming: implications for policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 369(1934), 45-66.

Ackerley, D., Booth, B.B.B., Knight, S.H.E., Highwood, E.J., Frame, D.J., Allen, M.R., & Rowell, D.P. (2011). Sensitivity of twentieth-century Sahel rainfall to sulfate aerosol and CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 24, 4999–5014.

Boykoff, M. T., Frame, D.J., & Randalls, S. (2010). Discursive stability meets climate instability: A critical exploration of the concept of ‘climate stabilization’ in contemporary climate policy. Global Environmental Change, 20(1), 53-64.

Frame, D.J. (2010). The problems of markets: science, norms and the commodification of carbon. The Geographical Journal, 177(2), 138-148

Frame, D.J., & Hepburn, C. (2010). An issue of trust: state corruption, responsibility and greenhouse gas emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 5(1), 014004

Zickfeld, K., Morgan, M.G., Frame, D.J., & Keith, D.W. (2010). Expert judgments about transient climate response to alternative future trajectories of radiative forcing. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 107(28), 12451-12456.

Allen, M.R., Frame, D.J., & Mason, C.F. (2009). The case for mandatory sequestration. Nature Geoscience, 2, 813-814.

Allen, M.R., Frame, D.J., Huntingford, C., Jones, C.D., Lowe, J.A., Meinshausen, M. & Meinshausen, N. (2009). Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne. Nature, 458, 1163-1166.

Meinshausen, M., Meinshausen, N., Hare, W., Raper, S., Frieler, K., Knutti, R., Frame, D.J., & Allen, M.R. (2009). Greenhouse gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2°C. Nature, 458, 1158-1162.

Ackerley, D., Highwood, E.J., Frame, D.J., & Booth, B.B.B. (2009). Changes in the global sulfate burden due to perturbations in global CO2 concentrations. Journal of Climate, 22(20), 5421-5432.

Frame, D.J., Aina, T., Christensen, C.M., Faull, N.E., Knight, S.H.E., Piani, C., ..., & Allen, M.R. (2009). The BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 367(1890), 855-870.

Ackerley, D., Highwood, E.J. & Frame, D.J. (2009). Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the platform. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 114, D01203.

Knutti, R., Krahenmann, S., Frame, D.J., & Allen, M.R. (2008). Comment on ‘‘Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth’s climate system’’ by S. E. Schwartz. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, D15103.

Allen, M.R., & Frame, D.J. (2007). Call off the quest. Science, 318(5850), 582-583.

Frame, D.J., Faull, N.E., Joshi, M.M., & Allen, M.R. (2007). Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365(1857), 1971-1992.

Knight, C.G., Knight, S.H.E., Massey, N., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Frame, D.J., ..., & Allen, M.R. (2007). Association of parameter, software and hardware variation with large scale behavior across 57,000 climate models. PNAS, 104(30), 12259-12264.

Allen, M., Pall, P., Stone, D., Stott, P., Frame, D.J., Min, S.-K., Nozawa, T. & Yukimoto, S. (2007). Scientific challenges in the attribution of harm to human influence on climate. University of Pennsylvania Law Review, 155(6), 1353-1400.

Piani, C., Sanderson, B., Giorgi, F., Frame, D.J., Christensen, C., & Allen, M.R. (2007). Regional probabilistic climate forecasts from a multi-thousand, multi-model ensemble of simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, D24108.

Sanderson, B.M., Knutti, R., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Faull, N.E., Frame, D.J., ..., & Allen, M.R. (2007). Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the rose of sub-grid scale processes. Journal of Climate, 21(11), 2384-2400.

Frame, D.J., Stone, D.A., Stott, P.A., & Allen, M.R. (2006). Alternatives to stabilization scenarios. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L14707.

Hegerl, G.C., Crowley, T.J., Hyde, W.T., & Frame, D.J. (2006). Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries. Nature, 440, 1029-1032. See also the correspondence arising: Schneider, T. (2007). Climate modelling: Uncertainty in climate-sensitivity estimates. Nature, 446. and Hegerl, G.C., Crowley, T.J., Hyde, W.T., & Frame, D.J. (2007). Climate modelling: Uncertainty in climate-sensitivity estimates (Reply). Nature, 446(7131), E2.

Massey, N., Aina, T., Allen, M.R., Christensen, C., Frame, D.J., Goodman, D., ..., & Stainforth, D. (2006) Data access and analysis with distributed federated data servers in Advances in Geosciences, 8, 49-56.

Allen, M.R., Andronova, N., Booth, B.B.B., Dessai, S., Frame, D.J., Forest, C., ..., & Stainforth, D.A. (2006). Observational Constraints on climate sensitivity. In W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T. Wigley & G. Yohe (Eds.), Avoiding dangerous climate change (Chapter 29). UK: Cambridge University Press.

Stainforth, D.A., Allen, M.R., Frame, D.J., & Piani, C. (2006). Risks Associated with Stabilisation Scenarios and Uncertainty in Regional and Global Climate Change Impacts. In W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T. Wigley & G. Yohe (Eds.), Avoiding dangerous climate change (Chapter 33). UK: Cambridge University Press.

Frame, D.J., Booth, B.B.B., Kettleborough, J.A., Stainforth, D.A., Gregory, J.M., Collins, M., & Allen, M.R. (2005). Constraining climate forecasts: the role of prior assumptions. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L09702.

Piani, C., Frame, D.J., Stainforth, D.A., & Allen, M.R. (2005). Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations. Geophysical Review Letters, 32, L23825.

Stainforth, D.A., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Collins, M., Faull, N., Frame, D.J., ..., & Allen, M.R. (2005). Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature, 433, 403-406, 2005.

Other forms of dissemination (reports for clients, technical reports, popular press, etc.)

Mastrandrea, M.D., Field, C.B., Stocker, T.F., Edenhofer, O., Ebi, K.L., Frame, D.J., ..., & Zwiers, F.W. (2010). Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).