Glacier and ice sheet modelling

Glacier and ice sheet modelling helps us to understand the ways glaciers and ice sheets respond to past, present and future climatic changes.

Measuring crevasse snow thickness, Franz Josef Glacier

Our aim is to understand the role of glaciers and ice sheets in the Earth System. In particular, we investigate the interactions between ice and the climate system, both for projecting future changes, and for reconstructing past climates. Our team develops and applies computer models based on physical principles, and collects glaciological data from remote and challenging environments on alpine glaciers and polar ice sheets.

We work on issues that are directly relevant to society, such as predicting the contribution from ice sheets and glaciers to sea-level rise as a consequence of global warming. We also work on improving understanding of more fundamental processes such as firnification, iceberg calving, sliding, and surface energy balance. Our group collaborates closely with ice-core scientists and geologists in the Antarctic Research Centre, as well as the Science Drilling Office. We also work with a number of international glaciology centres, New Zealand universities, and Crown Research Institutes.

Recent publications demonstrate the range and depth of our activities:

  • How will the Antarctic Ice Sheet respond to climate warming? (URL)
  • Why did some New Zealand glaciers advance during a period of global warming? (URL)
  • How does surface debris cover influence glacier response to climate change? (URL)
  • Why does snow accumulate on the up-wind side of Antarctic ‘megadunes’? (URL)
  • How much colder was New Zealand during the Last Glacial Maximum? (URL)
  • How can we reconstruct past climate from glaciers? (URL)
  • What happens to glaciers when it rains? (URL)

People involved

Current funded research projects

  • Deep South National Science Challenge: Impact of Climate Change on New Zealand’s frozen water resources (A. Mackintosh (PI), B. Anderson, R Dadic, H. Horgan (AIs)).
  • MBIE: Past Antarctic Climate and Future Implications programme (R. Levy (PI), A. Mackintosh, N. Golledge, H. Horgan, (AIs)).
  • National Geographic Society: A high-precision chronology of glacier fluctuations in southern New Zealand over the last millennium (S. Eaves (PI), A. Mackintosh, B. Anderson (AIs)).
  • NIWA: Sub-contract Climate Present and Past core funding. 'Structure from Motion' as an addition to the end of summer snowline survey and New Zealand glacier monitoring (H. Horgan (PI), B. Anderson, A. Mackintosh (AIs)).
  • NIWA: Sub-contract Regional Climate Modelling core funding. Coupled Glacier-Hydrological Models (A. Mackintosh, B. Anderson (PIs)).
  • NZARI: Constraining Antarctica’s contribution to past global sea level rise in Northern Victoria Land and the Western Ross Sea (K. Norton (PI), A. Mackintosh (AI))
  • NZARI: Potential for non-linear, threshold-driven response of Antarctic outlet glaciers; insights from David Glacier, Antarctica (A. Mackintosh (PI), K. Norton, R. McKay (AIs)).
  • RSNZ Marsden Fund: Establishing natural baselines of glacier variability in a warm world (S. Eaves (PI), A. Mackintosh (AI)).
  • RZNZ Marsden Fund: Improving ice core records – understanding the link between rapid changes of greenhouse gases and temperature (R. Dadic (PI), N. Bertler (AI)).
  • RSNZ Marsden Fund: Can ice sheets help themselves? Investigating self-stabilisation and instability in Antarctica (H. Horgan (PI)).
  • RZNZ Marsden Fund: Advancing Glaciers in a Warming World (B. Anderson (PI), A. Mackintosh (AI)).
  • RSNZ Marsden Fund: Predicting a sea change: Antarctic ice-ocean interactions in a warming world (N. Bertler, R. McKay (PIs), N. Golledge, L. Carter (AIs)).
  • RSNZ Rutherford Discovery Fellowship: Modelling the response of the Antarctic ice-sheet to a warming world and its contribution to future sea-level rise (N. Golledge (PI)).
  • RSNZ Rutherford Discovery Fellowship: Accelerating Ice – The Role of Water in the Flow of Ice Sheets (H. Horgan (PI)).

Current PhD students